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Will there be a leadership spill before the end of the year?

18 June 2017 11:01 PM
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Will there be a leadership spill before the end of the year?

The latest Newspoll figures show the Coalition continuing to trail behind Labor, as support for the leaders of both major parties wanes.

And a “good humoured roast” of US President Donald Trump by Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull looks like it didn’t help.

Amid a tumultuous political landscape, including the government trying to push school funding reforms through the Senate before Parliament rests, some political pundits are predicting a leadership spill before the year is out.

Former Labor Party powerbroker turned Sky News political commentator Graham Richardson believes it’s “pretty much set it”, with the coalitions 14th straight trail behind Labor.

“People are just not listening to Malcolm Turnbull anymore," Mr Richardson told the TODAY Show.

"It kind of doesn’t matter what he says, but weeks like last week where you produce this Finkel review to settle everyone down, and instead you detonate the place and it blows up in your face, they don’t help him,” he said.

“It doesn’t look like to the average punter that he can manage his political party.

"You’ve got to be able to manage not just his friends but his enemies within, and he can’t do either.”

The latest Newspoll published The Australian keeps Labor on 53 percent to the coalition's 47 percent on a two-party-preferred basis, and marks the 14th consecutive poll where the coalition has been behind.

Both Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull and Opposition Leader Bill Shorten have an approval rating of negative 23 percent, meaning more surveyed voters were dissatisfied than satisfied with their performances.

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“The impression is that he (Turnbull) can’t lead. There’s such disappointment in that fact. They all hope for a good leader… they thought they had one, they were wrong,” Mr Richardson said.

“They’re also disappointed that he just doesn’t seem to care. Maybe it’s just the method of communication – he looks and sounds like the man with a million-dollar house on Sydney Harbour not the kind of bloke who understands people who can live in the outer suburbs.”

On a primary vote basis, Pauline Hanson's One Nation share of the vote has increased to 11 percent from nine percent three weeks ago, while Labor's edged up one pip to 37.

“She’s around ten all the time, I don’t think a bounce to eleven means much. She’ll get around ten percent when the election comes… she’s been helped by some of the terror stuff lately with her anti-Islam message,” Mr Richardson said.

The coalition's primary vote was static at 36 per cent, and the Greens slipped to nine percent.

Mr Richardson predicted Mr Turnbull’s likely successor – should ratings continue to slip – that Julie Bishop and Peter Dutton would “fight out a ballot”.

“I’d say Bishop would probably win. And I reckon there’ll be a contest too, I reckon there’ll be a ballot before the end of the year. You can’t keep going with these Newspolls,” he said.

“No one wants to pull the trigger. But the gun is there, and the bullet is there. Somebody will pull it, you watch.”

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Source: 9news.com.au

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